Markets and economics

The American dream
Economics

The American dream

We believe the unanticipated surge in US immigration is helping to increase the chances of an...

By Tim Drayson

20 Mar 2024

4 min read

Moving on up: is another ‘goldilocks’ year in store for high yield?
Fixed income

Moving on up: is another ‘goldilocks’ year in store for high yield?

Many investors thought 2023 would be a year of defaults and credit pressure. As it turns out, las...
By Martin ReevesSophia Hunt
18 Mar 2024
2 min read
What does the Bank of England have in common with Roman priests?
Christopher Jeffery
Economics

What does the Bank of England have in common with Roman priests?

Forecasting future inflation is exceptionally difficult, but the process can still be useful to t...
By Christopher Jeffery
13 Mar 2024
4 min read
UK budget – no surprises and no alarms
James Carrick
Markets and economics

UK budget – no surprises and no alarms

We believe the budget could support growth and reduce headline inflation this year, with the...
By James Carrick
07 Mar 2024
4 min read
Chart of the month: The roulette of rate cuts
Markets and economics

Chart of the month: The roulette of rate cuts

What is the options market saying about the probability of the Fed not cutting rates this year?

By Christopher Jeffery

06 Mar 2024

1 min read

LDI chart update: Is the price now right?
Robert Pace
Markets and economics

LDI chart update: Is the price now right?

The spread of gilts over swaps rose steadily over 2023, as the market made room for supply. The...
By Robert Pace
29 Feb 2024
3 min read
All quarters are equal, but some are more equal than others
Christopher Jeffery
Markets and economics

All quarters are equal, but some are more equal than others

What do Nobel Prize-winning physicist Niels Bohr and baseball player Yogi Berra have in common?...
By Christopher Jeffery
28 Feb 2024
2 min read
Will the rates rally continue?
Christopher Jeffery
Fixed income

Will the rates rally continue?

Global government bonds delivered modestly positive returns in 2023 after two consecutive down...
By Christopher Jeffery
26 Feb 2024
2 min read